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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+2.88vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University-0.04+3.80vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.61+1.38vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37-2.10vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.43+0.37vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.91+0.25vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.21-2.88vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.19-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.8Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.38Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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3.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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2.9University of South Florida1.370.3%1st Place
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6.37University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.25Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
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5.12Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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5.92North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 15.4% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 12.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Max Kleha | 18.0% | 21.5% | 19.5% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 29.1% | 23.3% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 20.7% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 41.2% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 6.6% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.