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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.52+1.50vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-0.70+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+0.87vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-1.40-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.07-1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.76-0.35vs Predicted
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7American University-3.08-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Virginia Tech-0.5231.1%1st Place
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2.81Penn State University-0.7022.8%1st Place
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3.87University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.4312.2%1st Place
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3.82William and Mary-1.4012.1%1st Place
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3.39University of Delaware-1.0716.4%1st Place
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5.65University of Maryland-2.762.5%1st Place
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5.96American University-3.082.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Averyt | 31.1% | 24.6% | 20.1% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 22.8% | 24.1% | 22.3% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| John TIS | 12.2% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 14.6% | 4.2% |
| Harrison Rohne | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 22.1% | 14.0% | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Koly | 16.4% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| David Shewfelt | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 30.9% | 37.5% |
| Ella Lane | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 25.7% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.