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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+6.56vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.95+4.72vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+6.20vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.56vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.74+2.49vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+1.97vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.55+4.04vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-1.70vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.11vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.67-2.82vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.39-2.89vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.01-2.24vs Predicted
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14Washington College3.07-3.46vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-5.04vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.34-2.95vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.72College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.2Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.49University of South Florida3.740.1%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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12.04University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.11Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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10.54Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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13.05Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.56Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ben Spector | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Britton Steele | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Gary Herring | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 18.8% |
| Alex Cook | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Peter Johns | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| Billy Hines | 2.1% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 26.7% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.