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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.52+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+1.86vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-0.70-0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.07-0.63vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-1.40-1.17vs Predicted
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6American University-3.08-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.76-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Virginia Tech-0.5229.4%1st Place
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3.86University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.4312.2%1st Place
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2.78Penn State University-0.7025.3%1st Place
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3.37University of Delaware-1.0715.7%1st Place
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3.83William and Mary-1.4011.8%1st Place
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5.99American University-3.082.5%1st Place
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5.61University of Maryland-2.763.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Averyt | 29.4% | 24.3% | 21.1% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| John TIS | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 23.2% | 14.2% | 4.2% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 25.3% | 23.1% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Koly | 15.7% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Harrison Rohne | 11.8% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 13.7% | 4.8% |
| Ella Lane | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 25.5% | 51.4% |
| David Shewfelt | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 31.1% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.