← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.46+2.52vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.80+0.85vs Predicted
-
4Bentley University-0.39+3.87vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+1.66vs Predicted
-
6Brown University0.78-1.16vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.31-3.28vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont-0.28-0.55vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.14-2.57vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University-0.59-1.61vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-2.39vs Predicted
-
12Brandeis University-0.61-3.78vs Predicted
-
13Bentley University-1.33-2.94vs Predicted
-
14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.52Roger Williams University1.460.2%1st Place
-
2.85Roger Williams University1.800.3%1st Place
-
7.87Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
-
6.66University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.0%1st Place
-
4.84Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
-
3.72Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
-
7.45University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
-
6.43University of Rhode Island0.140.1%1st Place
-
8.39Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.22Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
-
10.06Bentley University-1.330.0%1st Place
-
12.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Crager | 19.8% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 28.5% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| William Delong | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Charles Case | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 17.1% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ocean Smith | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 2.2% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 4.5% |
| Myles Hazen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 1.8% |
| Aedan Pickett | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 32.0% | 10.9% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 10.4% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.