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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont-0.28+6.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.46+1.51vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+0.79vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.78+0.94vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.80-2.15vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.39+0.76vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.14-1.60vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-0.44vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.61-1.58vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-4.40vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.59-3.88vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.33-2.94vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
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3.51Roger Williams University1.460.2%1st Place
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3.79Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.94Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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2.85Roger Williams University1.800.3%1st Place
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7.76Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island0.140.1%1st Place
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8.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.42Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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8.12Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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10.06Bentley University-1.330.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ocean Smith | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Jack Crager | 19.5% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 16.1% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 29.3% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 2.2% |
| Myles Hazen | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 2.2% |
| William Delong | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 2.0% |
| Aedan Pickett | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 31.7% | 11.5% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 9.8% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.