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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+1.75vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.46+1.38vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+0.64vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.78-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+0.31vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+1.15vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.39-0.69vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.59-1.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.14-3.94vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-1.33-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-0.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.28-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Roger Williams University1.800.3%1st Place
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3.38Roger Williams University1.460.2%1st Place
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3.64Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.79Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.31Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.78Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Rhode Island0.140.1%1st Place
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9.23Bentley University-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 28.4% | 24.1% | 19.3% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Crager | 20.1% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 19.5% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 7.8% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Delong | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Kevin McNeill | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 3.5% |
| John O'Connell | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 2.0% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 2.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Aedan Pickett | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 32.9% | 10.8% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 10.5% | 78.9% |
| Ocean Smith | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.