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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.46+2.43vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.39+5.40vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.14+3.15vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.28+1.12vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+1.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.59-1.23vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.78-5.41vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-1.33-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-0.58vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.80-10.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Roger Williams University1.460.2%1st Place
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7.4Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island0.140.1%1st Place
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3.66Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.77Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.59Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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9.2Bentley University-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
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2.81Roger Williams University1.800.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Crager | 19.5% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 1.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 16.2% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Delong | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Ocean Smith | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| Kevin McNeill | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 4.4% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 2.4% |
| Charles Case | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aedan Pickett | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 31.7% | 11.0% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 9.9% | 78.8% |
| Connor McHugh | 30.2% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.