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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+1.79vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.46+1.38vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+0.61vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.78+0.72vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.39+2.37vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.28+1.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01+1.44vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.59-3.25vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-1.33-2.58vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.14-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Roger Williams University1.800.3%1st Place
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3.38Roger Williams University1.460.2%1st Place
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3.61Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.72Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.37Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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11.44University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
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7.75Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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9.42Bentley University-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island0.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 27.5% | 24.2% | 19.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Crager | 19.4% | 19.8% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 19.1% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Ocean Smith | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 1.1% |
| Kevin McNeill | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 3.8% |
| William Delong | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 11.4% | 77.1% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 2.0% |
| Aedan Pickett | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 33.5% | 12.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.