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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.29+2.29vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.82+0.42vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+1.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.54+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-1.65+5.08vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.57-1.22vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.15-0.87vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.86+0.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-2.20+2.34vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.14-1.05vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-3.68vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-2.04-2.11vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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2.42Roger Williams University1.820.3%1st Place
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4.57Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont-1.650.0%1st Place
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4.78Brown University0.570.1%1st Place
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6.13McGill University-0.150.1%1st Place
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8.09Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.34Northeastern University-2.200.0%1st Place
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8.95Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.89Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 21.5% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 34.8% | 27.4% | 17.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mungo McKemey | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 9.3% |
| Quinn Brighton | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Richards | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Aditya Khanna | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 24.6% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Miles Laker | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 17.7% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 20.3% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.