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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.82+1.47vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.29+1.19vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+1.55vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.15+2.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.57-0.21vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-2.20+5.44vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-1.65+2.85vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39+1.38vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.86-0.84vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.14-1.06vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-2.04+0.01vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-3.67vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-1.15vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.54-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Roger Williams University1.820.4%1st Place
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3.19Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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4.55Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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6.39McGill University-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.79Brown University0.570.1%1st Place
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11.44Northeastern University-2.200.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont-1.650.0%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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8.16Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.94Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
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11.01Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 35.7% | 25.7% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 22.3% | 20.1% | 19.3% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.4% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Richards | 3.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Brighton | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aditya Khanna | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 25.1% |
| Mungo McKemey | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Miles Laker | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 18.6% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.1% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 21.6% | 34.2% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.