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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+3.60vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.29+1.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.57+1.64vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.82-1.54vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.86+3.24vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.15+0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-1.65+2.84vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+0.21vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.14-0.17vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.54-6.19vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-2.04-0.99vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-2.20-1.76vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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3.21Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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4.64Brown University0.570.1%1st Place
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2.46Roger Williams University1.820.3%1st Place
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8.24Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.46McGill University-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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8.83Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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11.01Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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11.24Northeastern University-2.200.0%1st Place
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11.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 9.3% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 21.2% | 21.8% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Brighton | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 34.3% | 26.2% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Richards | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mungo McKemey | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 8.3% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 9.3% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Laker | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 18.9% |
| Aditya Khanna | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 23.9% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 20.4% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.