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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University-0.70+2.09vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.12-0.59vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.13+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.430.00vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-1.40-1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.76-0.31vs Predicted
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7American University-3.08-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Penn State University-0.7011.7%1st Place
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1.41Virginia Tech1.1268.8%1st Place
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3.71University of Delaware-1.136.5%1st Place
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4.0University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.435.4%1st Place
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3.99William and Mary-1.405.2%1st Place
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5.69University of Maryland-2.761.8%1st Place
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6.09American University-3.080.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joseph Simpkins | 11.7% | 26.2% | 25.2% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
Sam Springer | 68.8% | 23.2% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Anna Servidio | 6.5% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 21.9% | 20.6% | 10.1% | 1.9% |
John TIS | 5.4% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 21.4% | 14.7% | 4.3% |
Harrison Rohne | 5.2% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 23.6% | 13.8% | 3.4% |
David Shewfelt | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 32.2% | 36.4% |
Ella Lane | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 25.0% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.