← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.29+2.27vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.82+0.40vs Predicted
-
3Brown University0.57+1.68vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island0.54+0.74vs Predicted
-
5McGill University-0.15+1.15vs Predicted
-
6Bentley University-0.86+1.89vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39+2.03vs Predicted
-
8Bentley University-1.14+0.47vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.62-4.43vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont-1.65-0.30vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-3.10vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University-2.20-1.17vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.27Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
-
2.4Roger Williams University1.820.3%1st Place
-
4.68Brown University0.570.1%1st Place
-
4.74University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
-
6.15McGill University-0.150.1%1st Place
-
7.89Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
9.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
-
8.47Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
-
4.57Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
-
9.7University of Vermont-1.650.0%1st Place
-
7.9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
-
10.83Northeastern University-2.200.0%1st Place
-
11.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 21.1% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 35.0% | 28.2% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Brighton | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Richards | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 6.5% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 3.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mungo McKemey | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 12.6% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Aditya Khanna | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 23.4% | 30.0% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.