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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+5.00vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+3.33vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.23+3.83vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.38-0.07vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.64+3.38vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55-2.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-3.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.35-2.44vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.42-0.98vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.10-1.54vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.53+0.93vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.14+1.13vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.12-2.02vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.67-1.76vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.79-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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5.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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6.83San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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8.38Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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3.59Stanford University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Santa Cruz1.350.1%1st Place
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9.02California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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10.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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10.46University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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13.93San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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15.13Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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12.98Santa Clara University-1.120.0%1st Place
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14.24San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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14.49Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 17.3% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 20.5% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 19.6% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Marley Daniel | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 14.6% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 37.3% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 6.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 18.2% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 21.2% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.