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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48+3.10vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.23+2.78vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.10+5.35vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-3.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.35-2.47vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.53+3.92vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.73vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.42-3.01vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.64-4.50vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.12-0.86vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.79-0.63vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.14-0.88vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.67-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Stanford University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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6.1University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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6.78San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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10.35University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.54California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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3.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Santa Cruz1.350.1%1st Place
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13.92San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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8.99California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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8.5Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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13.14Santa Clara University-1.120.0%1st Place
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14.37Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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15.12Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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14.28San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 23.1% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 17.2% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 19.1% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 13.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 13.3% | 7.5% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 23.2% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 36.6% |
| Juan Alcala | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 21.1% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.