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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.64+7.22vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.23+4.69vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.48+2.17vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.38-1.17vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.35-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.39vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+1.34vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.42-1.01vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.10-0.44vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.64-3.61vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-1.12+0.03vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.53-0.03vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.79-0.61vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.67-1.75vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.14-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.69San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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3.53Stanford University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.17University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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5.46California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Santa Cruz1.350.1%1st Place
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3.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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10.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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8.99California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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10.56University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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13.03Santa Clara University-1.120.0%1st Place
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13.97San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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14.39Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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14.25San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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15.12Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Casal | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aston Smith | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 19.6% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 18.6% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 21.1% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 8.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 15.3% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 22.1% | 21.4% |
| Juan Alcala | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 17.8% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.