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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+2.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.64+5.40vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.48+2.15vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.38-1.20vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.23+0.88vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.35-1.66vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.42+0.19vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.53+3.85vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.64-2.54vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-1.84vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.79+1.42vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.12-0.88vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.10-4.58vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.67-1.75vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.14-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Stanford University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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6.88San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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5.37California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Santa Cruz1.350.1%1st Place
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9.19California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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13.85San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.46Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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14.42Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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13.12Santa Clara University-1.120.0%1st Place
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10.42University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.25San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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15.14Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 20.5% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 19.2% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 17.8% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 7.4% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 13.7% |
| Juan Casal | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 22.8% | 22.4% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 7.2% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Juan Alcala | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 20.5% | 18.2% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 20.7% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.