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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.12+0.40vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-0.70+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.13+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+0.04vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-1.40-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.76-0.34vs Predicted
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7American University-3.08-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.4Virginia Tech1.1268.6%1st Place
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3.14Penn State University-0.7010.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Delaware-1.137.6%1st Place
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4.04University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.435.1%1st Place
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4.04William and Mary-1.405.9%1st Place
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5.66University of Maryland-2.761.7%1st Place
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6.07American University-3.080.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 68.6% | 24.1% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 10.2% | 26.6% | 26.2% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Anna Servidio | 7.6% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 22.4% | 18.5% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| John TIS | 5.1% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 23.0% | 13.8% | 4.8% |
| Harrison Rohne | 5.9% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 21.2% | 23.1% | 15.8% | 3.4% |
| David Shewfelt | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 31.1% | 36.2% |
| Ella Lane | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 25.9% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.