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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.13+2.71vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University0.17+4.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+0.92vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.32+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.19-2.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.68vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.75+0.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.71-0.20vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.64+1.49vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-2.08+1.86vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.60-0.63vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-2.00vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.87-1.73vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.98-2.56vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.96-1.14vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.52-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Stanford University1.130.2%1st Place
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6.08San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.2%1st Place
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6.89California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Southern California0.320.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Hawaii1.190.2%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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8.7Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.8University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.49San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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12.86California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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11.37University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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11.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.27San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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12.44Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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14.86Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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13.95Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Cornell | 20.0% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 17.5% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Berry | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 19.1% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Brent Lin | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 11.1% |
| Bianca Weber | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Joshua Barraza | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 8.6% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 40.4% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 19.6% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.