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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+2.85vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.32+3.73vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+3.82vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.75+4.85vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University0.17+0.96vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.13-2.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.68vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46+2.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.71-0.16vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.64+1.46vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.19-7.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.60-0.59vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.08-0.21vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.87-1.67vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.98-2.54vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.96-1.13vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.52-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.2%1st Place
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5.73University of Southern California0.320.1%1st Place
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6.82California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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8.85Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.96San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.85Stanford University1.130.2%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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10.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.46San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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3.72University of Hawaii1.190.2%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.79California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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12.33San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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12.46Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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14.87Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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13.95Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Skerrett | 20.4% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Berry | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 16.3% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 20.5% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Brent Lin | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| Joshua Barraza | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 8.7% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 39.8% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.