← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+2.86vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University1.13+1.78vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.19+0.64vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+1.34vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University0.17+1.07vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.71+2.85vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46+3.97vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California0.32-2.37vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-0.75-0.05vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands-2.08+2.70vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley-1.60+0.47vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-1.64-0.51vs Predicted
-
13San Diego State University-1.87-0.85vs Predicted
-
14Santa Clara University-1.98-1.43vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University-2.96-0.25vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-2.52-2.09vs Predicted
-
17California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.2%1st Place
-
3.78Stanford University1.130.2%1st Place
-
3.64University of Hawaii1.190.2%1st Place
-
5.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
-
6.07San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
-
8.85University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
-
10.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
-
5.63University of Southern California0.320.1%1st Place
-
8.95Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
12.7California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
-
11.47University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
-
11.49San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
-
12.15San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
-
12.57Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
-
14.75Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
-
13.91Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
-
6.87California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Skerrett | 18.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 18.9% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 19.2% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Cameron Berry | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Brent Lin | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 9.4% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.8% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 41.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 20.6% |
| Sam Jennings | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.