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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.19+2.49vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.13+1.60vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.17+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.05-0.06vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+3.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.32-1.35vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-1.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.60+1.98vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.71-1.61vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+1.41vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-2.08+0.19vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-2.96+1.22vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.64-2.97vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.98-3.12vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-3.81-0.29vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.52-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of Hawaii1.190.2%1st Place
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3.6Stanford University1.130.2%1st Place
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5.96San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.2%1st Place
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8.4Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Southern California0.320.1%1st Place
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6.55California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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12.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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12.19California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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14.22Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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11.03San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.88Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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15.71San Diego State University-3.810.0%1st Place
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13.3Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Rathkopf | 21.9% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 19.7% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 17.9% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Berry | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 4.7% |
| Brent Lin | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 26.9% | 19.6% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Luciano Lara | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 55.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.