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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+2.85vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.19+1.54vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.13+0.72vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.75+4.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+0.10vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.32-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.71+0.29vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.08+3.29vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.17-4.10vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.64+0.05vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-2.96+2.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.60-2.13vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.98-2.04vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-2.70vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.52-2.71vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-3.81-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.2%1st Place
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3.54University of Hawaii1.190.2%1st Place
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3.72Stanford University1.130.2%1st Place
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8.47Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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6.73California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Southern California0.320.1%1st Place
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8.29University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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12.29California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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5.9San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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11.05San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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14.26Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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10.87University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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11.96Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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12.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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13.29Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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15.74San Diego State University-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Skerrett | 17.7% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 19.5% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 18.6% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Berry | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 26.7% | 20.3% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 9.5% |
| Luciano Lara | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.