← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+2.60vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University1.13+1.47vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+3.44vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.19-0.51vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University0.17+0.64vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-0.92vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University-0.75+1.32vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California-0.60-0.23vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University-1.64+1.94vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-0.71-1.84vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands-2.08+1.17vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-1.60-1.25vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-2.96+1.13vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-1.66vs Predicted
-
15Santa Clara University-1.98-3.26vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-2.52-2.78vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-3.81-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.2%1st Place
-
3.47Stanford University1.130.2%1st Place
-
6.44California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
-
3.49University of Hawaii1.190.2%1st Place
-
5.64San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
-
5.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
-
8.32Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
7.77University of Southern California-0.600.0%1st Place
-
10.94San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
-
8.16University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
-
12.17California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
-
10.75University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
-
14.13Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
-
12.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
-
11.74Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
-
13.22Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
-
15.74San Diego State University-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Skerrett | 20.8% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 20.7% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 20.9% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 24.9% | 20.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 3.9% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 8.8% |
| Luciano Lara | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.