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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+11.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+3.89vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.32+11.66vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University3.26+6.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+2.38vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.65+3.00vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.86+5.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.66+0.61vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-1.30vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.62-1.01vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.73-2.41vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-3.12vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.90vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.36-3.83vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.25-4.26vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.90-3.80vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.93-5.01vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.55-8.57vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut1.72-2.41vs Predicted
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20Columbia University2.13-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.14Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.89Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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14.66Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.68Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.0Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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7.7Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.17Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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12.2Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.43Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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16.59University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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15.48Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Brendan Kopp | 13.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Paice | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 17.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Colin Smith | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Olin Davis | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| William Howard | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| James Simmons | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 36.8% |
| David Coplon | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.