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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.12+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.13+1.68vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-0.70+0.07vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-1.40+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-0.94vs Predicted
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6American University-3.08-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.76-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Virginia Tech1.1266.8%1st Place
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3.68University of Delaware-1.137.6%1st Place
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3.07Penn State University-0.7011.9%1st Place
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4.01William and Mary-1.406.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.435.1%1st Place
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5.99American University-3.081.5%1st Place
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5.74University of Maryland-2.761.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 66.8% | 24.4% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 7.6% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 23.0% | 18.9% | 9.8% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 11.9% | 26.2% | 25.8% | 19.5% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Rohne | 6.0% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 21.7% | 15.3% | 4.0% |
| John TIS | 5.1% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 3.6% |
| Ella Lane | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 22.7% | 52.1% |
| David Shewfelt | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 32.8% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.