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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.19+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+2.92vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.17+2.75vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.13-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.05-1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.60+1.99vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.64+3.82vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-1.73vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.75-0.59vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.60+0.72vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-2.08+1.18vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.71-3.82vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-0.77vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.98-2.10vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.96-0.87vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.52-2.78vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-3.81-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Hawaii1.190.2%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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5.75San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.64Stanford University1.130.2%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.2%1st Place
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7.99University of Southern California-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.82San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.27California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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8.41Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.18California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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12.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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11.9Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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14.13Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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13.22Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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15.7San Diego State University-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Rathkopf | 21.7% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 18.9% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 20.3% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Sam Jennings | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Brent Lin | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 3.9% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 2.6% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 24.2% | 20.1% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 8.9% |
| Luciano Lara | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 17.6% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.