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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.23+4.57vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.64+2.37vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.19+8.17vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.61+0.53vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.21+4.32vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.85+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.28+2.38vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.75-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.18+1.91vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.79-2.89vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University0.11-1.14vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-0.14-1.01vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+1.79vs Predicted
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14Hope College-0.77-0.66vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.90-1.22vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-1.94+1.08vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-1.20-2.15vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-1.20-2.99vs Predicted
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19The Citadel-0.60-6.30vs Predicted
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20North Carolina State University-0.19-8.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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4.37Eckerd College1.640.2%1st Place
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11.17University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.53Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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9.32Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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6.97Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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7.08Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.11Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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9.86Texas A&M University0.110.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Virginia-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.79Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.34Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.78Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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17.08William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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14.85Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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15.01University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.7The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.2North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Smith | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 16.8% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 16.9% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aston Atherton | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Claire Miller | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| William Mullray | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.2% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 5.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.4% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 41.1% |
| Ryan Dodge | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 13.6% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Annika Milstien | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.