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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.28+8.37vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.11+8.16vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.23+2.98vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.85+3.18vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.61-0.40vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.98+0.79vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.64-2.32vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.75-0.65vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.19+2.23vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.18+1.29vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.21-1.19vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.60+1.12vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.79-5.34vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-0.14-2.92vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-0.43vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-1.20-0.92vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.90-3.08vs Predicted
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18Hope College-0.77-4.28vs Predicted
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19Michigan State University-1.20-3.89vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-1.94-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.37University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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10.16Texas A&M University0.110.0%1st Place
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5.98San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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7.18Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.6Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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6.79North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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4.68Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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7.35Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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11.23University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.81Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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13.12The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.66Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Virginia-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.57Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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15.08University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.92Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.72Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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15.11Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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17.32William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Scott Mather | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Aston Smith | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 15.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 14.6% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Miller | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| William Mullray | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 14.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| Ryan Dodge | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.8% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.