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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.64+3.61vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.23+3.82vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.19+8.41vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.61+0.72vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.11+5.02vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.75+1.63vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.21+2.99vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.98-1.45vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.28+0.25vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.79-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.18+0.29vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.60+1.17vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-0.14-1.61vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-1.20+1.07vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.90-1.01vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-1.42vs Predicted
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17Hope College-0.77-3.52vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University-1.20-2.80vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-1.94-1.78vs Predicted
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20Christopher Newport University0.85-12.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Eckerd College1.640.2%1st Place
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5.82San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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11.41University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.72Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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10.02Texas A&M University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.63Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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9.99Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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6.55North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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7.38Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.17The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Virginia-0.140.0%1st Place
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15.07University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.99Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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14.58Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.48Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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15.2Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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17.22William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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7.24Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vieira | 17.1% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Igoe | 16.1% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ricky Miller | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Brelage | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Claire Miller | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 13.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
| William Mullray | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 9.7% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Dodge | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 14.4% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 41.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.