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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.23+4.76vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+5.15vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.98+3.75vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.61+0.64vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.11+4.92vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.75+1.57vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.79+0.56vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.60+4.65vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.18+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.28-0.62vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.19+0.17vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.21-2.26vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-1.20+2.26vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-0.14-3.11vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-0.60vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.77-2.62vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-1.91-0.04vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.90-3.99vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-1.94-1.93vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College1.64-15.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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7.15Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.75North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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4.64Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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9.92Texas A&M University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.57Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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7.56Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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12.65The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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11.17University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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9.74Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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15.26University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Virginia-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.4Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.38Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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16.96Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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14.01Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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17.07William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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4.61Eckerd College1.640.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Smith | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 9.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 16.5% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ricky Miller | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 11.1% |
| Claire Miller | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| William Mullray | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 7.8% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Keegan Beyer | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 30.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 35.7% |
| Jordan Vieira | 16.6% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.