Race 1A

wick-womens-event

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kalea Woodard 10.1% 10.1% 11.2% 10.8% 11.3% 12.0% 9.2% 10.0% 6.7% 5.9% 2.8%
Lucy Paskoff 5.1% 7.0% 6.7% 7.9% 8.6% 9.8% 9.9% 11.1% 11.0% 13.1% 9.9%
Laura Hamilton 21.8% 17.9% 15.2% 14.6% 10.4% 7.8% 5.5% 3.0% 2.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Ashley Delisser 5.6% 6.7% 7.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 10.6% 9.3% 12.9% 13.4% 11.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.0% 7.0% 10.1% 9.0% 8.8% 10.5% 9.9% 12.3% 9.7% 8.3% 6.3%
Grace Watlington 5.5% 5.7% 6.2% 6.7% 7.6% 8.5% 9.8% 10.2% 12.9% 13.5% 13.5%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.2% 4.4% 5.2% 6.9% 7.0% 6.5% 7.8% 8.8% 12.6% 13.9% 23.7%
Elizabeth Amelotte 4.5% 4.8% 5.1% 4.5% 6.2% 6.2% 7.5% 10.2% 11.1% 14.4% 25.5%
Marina Garrido 9.8% 11.2% 10.7% 9.8% 9.8% 11.4% 10.5% 9.4% 8.2% 6.6% 2.5%
Avery Canavan 10.3% 10.4% 10.5% 11.1% 10.4% 8.5% 10.5% 9.2% 8.6% 7.0% 3.5%
Eva Ermlich 16.1% 14.9% 12.0% 11.6% 11.9% 10.4% 8.7% 6.4% 4.3% 2.6% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.