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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.11+8.91vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.98+4.66vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85+4.24vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.23+1.83vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.28+4.28vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.61-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.18+4.53vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.75-0.68vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.60+3.72vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.79-2.68vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.19+0.22vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+2.69vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.21-3.13vs Predicted
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14Hope College-0.77-0.53vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.14-4.15vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.90-2.14vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-1.20-2.13vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University-1.91-1.00vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-1.94-1.91vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College1.64-15.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.91Texas A&M University0.110.0%1st Place
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6.66North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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7.24Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.83San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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4.68Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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11.53University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.32Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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12.72The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.32Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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11.22University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.69Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.87Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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13.47Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Virginia-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.86Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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14.87University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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17.0Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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17.09William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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4.59Eckerd College1.640.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mather | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Brelage | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Ricky Miller | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| William Mullray | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 8.1% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Claire Miller | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Keegan Beyer | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 31.8% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 34.3% |
| Jordan Vieira | 17.5% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.