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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.98+5.67vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.11+8.03vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.28+6.48vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.85+3.08vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.61-0.42vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.23-0.09vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.75+0.73vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.79-0.84vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.60+3.77vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.18+1.16vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.21-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.19-0.63vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+1.76vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.90-0.12vs Predicted
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15Hope College-0.77-1.65vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.14-5.09vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-1.91-0.07vs Predicted
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18William and Mary-1.94-0.87vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina-1.20-4.12vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College1.64-15.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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10.03Texas A&M University0.110.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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7.08Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.58Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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5.91San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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7.73Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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7.16Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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12.77The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.61Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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11.37University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.76Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.88Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.35Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Virginia-0.140.0%1st Place
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16.93Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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17.13William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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14.88University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.6Eckerd College1.640.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 7.7% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| William Mullray | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 9.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
| Claire Miller | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Keegan Beyer | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 31.2% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 34.8% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 9.5% |
| Jordan Vieira | 16.1% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.