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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.23+4.87vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.98+4.72vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+1.74vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79+3.43vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.64-0.45vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.75+1.66vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.85+0.41vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.11+1.88vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.28+0.24vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.60+2.96vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.14+0.16vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.18-0.51vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida-0.19-1.45vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+0.65vs Predicted
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15Hope College-0.77-1.44vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.90-1.96vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.21-7.44vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-1.20-2.82vs Predicted
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19Michigan State University-1.20-3.93vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-1.94-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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6.72North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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4.74Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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7.43Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.55Eckerd College1.640.2%1st Place
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7.66Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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7.41Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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9.88Texas A&M University0.110.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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12.96The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Virginia-0.140.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.55University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.65Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.56Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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14.04Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.56Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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15.18University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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15.07Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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17.27William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Smith | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 15.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 16.5% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Claire Miller | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| William Mullray | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 5.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 7.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 13.2% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.