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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+2.58vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.94+2.90vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.62+0.34vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.63+5.64vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.14+2.15vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.60-1.08vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.28-1.40vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-1.05+2.00vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.87+3.77vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University-0.56-1.61vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-1.15-0.50vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.21+2.06vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-3.11+3.17vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.87-4.67vs Predicted
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16Hope College-1.53-3.39vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-1.98-3.01vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-2.62vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-3.81-0.61vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.14-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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4.9Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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3.34Eckerd College1.620.2%1st Place
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9.64The Citadel-0.630.0%1st Place
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4.55Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.15University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.92Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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6.6Rice University0.280.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
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13.77San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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9.39Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Virginia-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.06University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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17.17University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
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10.33Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.61Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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13.99Michigan State University-1.980.0%1st Place
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15.38Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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18.39William and Mary-3.810.0%1st Place
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14.73Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 21.8% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 23.1% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Blackwell | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Ingram | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Myrick | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 4.9% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 25.2% | 23.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Caden Meyers | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 7.8% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 54.2% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.