← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College1.62+2.39vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.60+3.81vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.08+1.57vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida-0.14+4.04vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University0.94-0.11vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.54-2.45vs Predicted
-
7The Citadel-0.63+2.93vs Predicted
-
8Rice University0.28-1.40vs Predicted
-
9University of Texas-1.05+1.99vs Predicted
-
10Texas A&M University-0.56-0.63vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia-1.15+0.39vs Predicted
-
12Washington College-0.87-1.46vs Predicted
-
13University of North Carolina-2.21+2.04vs Predicted
-
14Hope College-1.53-1.37vs Predicted
-
15Michigan State University-1.98-0.96vs Predicted
-
16San Diego State University-1.87-2.32vs Predicted
-
17University of Central Florida-3.11+0.09vs Predicted
-
18Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-2.62vs Predicted
-
19William and Mary-3.81-0.61vs Predicted
-
20Arizona State University-2.14-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.39Eckerd College1.620.2%1st Place
-
5.81Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
-
4.57Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
-
8.04University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
-
4.89Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
-
3.55North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
-
9.93The Citadel-0.630.0%1st Place
-
6.6Rice University0.280.1%1st Place
-
10.99University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
-
9.37Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
-
11.39University of Virginia-1.150.0%1st Place
-
10.54Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
15.04University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
-
12.63Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
-
14.04Michigan State University-1.980.0%1st Place
-
13.68San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
-
17.09University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
-
15.38Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
-
18.39William and Mary-3.810.0%1st Place
-
14.68Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pj Rodrigues | 22.0% | 22.0% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 14.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 20.3% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Blackwell | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ingram | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Myrick | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 4.8% |
| Jack Rutherford | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Caden Meyers | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Joshua Barraza | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 24.8% | 23.0% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 7.9% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 53.9% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.