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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+3.56vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.62+1.33vs Predicted
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3Rice University0.28+3.75vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54-0.47vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.94-0.11vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.60-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.14+1.24vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.63+1.48vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.21+5.73vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.56-0.64vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.19+0.55vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.12-0.61vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-1.15-1.46vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.14+0.49vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.87-4.65vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.87-2.28vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-2.43-1.71vs Predicted
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18University of Central Florida-3.11-0.88vs Predicted
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19Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-3.68vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-3.81-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.33Eckerd College1.620.2%1st Place
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6.75Rice University0.280.1%1st Place
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3.53North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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4.89Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.87Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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8.24University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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9.48The Citadel-0.630.0%1st Place
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14.73University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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9.36Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.39Hope College-1.120.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Virginia-1.150.0%1st Place
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14.49Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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10.35Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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13.72San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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15.29Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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17.12University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
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15.32Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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18.47William and Mary-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 12.8% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 22.4% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 21.3% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Blackwell | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Ingram | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rohit Rajan | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Henry Myrick | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 6.2% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 25.1% | 23.5% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 5.6% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.