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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+4.93vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+7.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+5.79vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.78vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.32+9.59vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.65+3.02vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+0.68vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.66+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93+3.03vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.62-1.01vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.13+4.36vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-1.16vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.90-0.42vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.73-5.52vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-2.91vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.25-5.34vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.72-0.38vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.89-10.10vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University3.36-8.94vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan2.86-7.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.33Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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14.59Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.02Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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7.68Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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15.36Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.84Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.58Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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12.09Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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16.62University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.06Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Ian Paice | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 13.5% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Colin Smith | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| James Simmons | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Bernie Roesler | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| David Coplon | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 22.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Olin Davis | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Haley Powell | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| William Howard | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 36.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.