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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.99+4.29vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+3.44vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.85+0.54vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.13+1.99vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22-0.71vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.96-0.61vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.37-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.48-1.30vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.52-1.26vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65-2.97vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.13-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29University of South Florida0.9910.2%1st Place
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5.44George Washington University0.939.0%1st Place
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3.54Brown University1.8521.6%1st Place
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5.99Fordham University1.138.1%1st Place
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4.29Northeastern University1.2215.4%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University0.969.8%1st Place
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6.64Boston University0.376.3%1st Place
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6.7University of Miami0.485.7%1st Place
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7.74Connecticut College0.524.1%1st Place
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7.03Christopher Newport University0.655.8%1st Place
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7.95University of Vermont-0.134.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Kalea Woodard | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
Avery Canavan | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
Laura Hamilton | 21.6% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
Eva Ermlich | 15.4% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
Marina Garrido | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
Lucy Paskoff | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% |
Ashley Delisser | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% |
Izzy Wu-Karr | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 23.6% |
Grace Watlington | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.8% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.