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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.94+3.94vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+1.51vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.60+2.83vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08+0.60vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.56+4.35vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.28+0.81vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.14+1.21vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.87+5.62vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.62-5.70vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-1.19+1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-1.15+0.36vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.12-0.62vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.63-3.17vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-2.21+0.77vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.87-4.68vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.14-1.48vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-2.43-1.74vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-2.60vs Predicted
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19University of Central Florida-3.11-1.95vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-3.81-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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3.51North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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5.83Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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4.6Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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9.35Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.81Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.21University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.62San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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3.3Eckerd College1.620.2%1st Place
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11.49University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Virginia-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.38Hope College-1.120.0%1st Place
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9.83The Citadel-0.630.0%1st Place
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14.77University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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10.32Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.52Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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15.26Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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15.4Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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17.05University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
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18.45William and Mary-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 20.7% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ingram | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 24.1% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rohit Rajan | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Henry Myrick | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Reese Blackwell | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 6.2% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 25.2% | 21.7% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 18.2% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.