← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.54+2.64vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.60+4.07vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.62+0.49vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.08+0.75vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida-0.14+3.37vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University0.94-0.88vs Predicted
-
7University of Texas-0.86+4.22vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University-0.56+1.69vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel-0.63+0.98vs Predicted
-
10Rice University0.28-2.94vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina-0.60-1.00vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-2.14+3.17vs Predicted
-
13Washington College-0.87-1.79vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University-1.87+0.29vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia-1.15-3.16vs Predicted
-
16Hope College-1.12-4.27vs Predicted
-
17Michigan State University-1.98-2.49vs Predicted
-
18University of Central Florida-3.11-0.59vs Predicted
-
19Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-3.22vs Predicted
-
20William and Mary-3.81-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.64North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
-
6.07Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
-
3.49Eckerd College1.620.2%1st Place
-
4.75Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
-
8.37University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
-
5.12Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
-
11.22University of Texas-0.860.0%1st Place
-
9.69Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
-
9.98The Citadel-0.630.0%1st Place
-
7.06Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
-
10.0University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
-
15.17Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
-
11.21Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
14.29San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
-
11.84University of Virginia-1.150.0%1st Place
-
11.73Hope College-1.120.0%1st Place
-
14.51Michigan State University-1.980.0%1st Place
-
17.41University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
-
15.78Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
-
18.66William and Mary-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 20.2% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 8.2% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 23.1% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 12.3% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Fenner | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Ingram | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reese Blackwell | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 4.3% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Barraza | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Henry Myrick | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Caden Meyers | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 2.8% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 28.8% | 25.1% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 7.3% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 9.3% | 19.1% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.