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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+3.73vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.62+1.46vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.60+3.07vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54-0.32vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.94+0.09vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-2.14+9.09vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.86+4.19vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.60+1.86vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.14-0.71vs Predicted
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10Rice University0.28-2.95vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.87+3.25vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.63-1.74vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.87-1.85vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-1.15-2.07vs Predicted
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15Hope College-1.12-3.25vs Predicted
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16Michigan State University-1.98-1.51vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University-0.56-7.27vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-2.17vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-3.81-0.40vs Predicted
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20University of Central Florida-3.11-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.46Eckerd College1.620.2%1st Place
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6.07Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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3.68North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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5.09Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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15.09Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Texas-0.860.0%1st Place
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9.86University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.29University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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7.05Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
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14.25San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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10.26The Citadel-0.630.0%1st Place
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11.15Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Virginia-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.75Hope College-1.120.0%1st Place
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14.49Michigan State University-1.980.0%1st Place
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9.73Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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15.83Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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18.6William and Mary-3.810.0%1st Place
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17.48University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 21.6% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 20.6% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 3.9% |
| Oliver Fenner | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| May Proctor | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 4.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Reese Blackwell | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Henry Myrick | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Caden Meyers | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Ingram | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 9.0% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 19.5% | 56.5% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 30.2% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.