Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christian Cushman 8.7% 9.3% 10.5% 10.6% 9.2% 8.8% 8.5% 8.1% 7.5% 5.6% 5.6% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3%
Ethan Danielson 13.5% 11.4% 12.5% 10.6% 11.5% 9.1% 8.6% 8.1% 3.9% 4.4% 3.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
Eva Ermlich 19.8% 16.3% 15.3% 13.3% 9.4% 8.3% 5.4% 5.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Nolan Cooper 4.0% 5.1% 7.0% 5.7% 6.1% 7.5% 8.4% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 11.0% 9.9% 6.1% 5.1%
Sean Morrison 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 2.4% 3.7% 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 7.1% 8.2% 10.9% 17.3% 26.3%
Grant Schmidt 7.7% 7.0% 7.2% 9.0% 9.4% 8.8% 8.5% 8.9% 7.8% 6.3% 7.5% 6.5% 4.4% 1.0%
Blake Vogel 6.8% 7.1% 8.5% 7.3% 7.9% 8.0% 8.9% 7.5% 9.5% 8.6% 6.8% 6.3% 4.4% 2.4%
Max Teo 10.3% 12.1% 9.2% 10.2% 10.2% 8.1% 9.1% 8.3% 6.1% 6.1% 4.6% 3.0% 2.3% 0.4%
Sean Lund 3.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 3.0% 2.8% 3.9% 4.6% 5.9% 8.3% 10.2% 11.2% 18.6% 21.6%
Theresa Straw 4.2% 4.3% 4.1% 5.8% 5.9% 7.8% 6.8% 6.7% 8.9% 11.8% 8.7% 9.9% 9.0% 6.1%
Jett Lindelof 5.7% 4.7% 5.8% 6.8% 7.4% 8.8% 7.2% 7.3% 9.8% 7.7% 8.3% 9.2% 7.2% 4.1%
William Delong 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 2.9% 3.3% 4.6% 5.2% 6.7% 7.3% 7.4% 11.9% 11.5% 12.6% 17.8%
Evan Tofolo 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 3.1% 4.8% 4.2% 5.4% 6.9% 8.7% 9.1% 8.9% 12.5% 12.7% 13.0%
Sidney Moyer 8.9% 12.0% 7.9% 9.4% 9.5% 9.5% 9.2% 8.9% 7.5% 7.7% 4.2% 2.9% 1.9% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.