Race 2A

bu-trophy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Grant Schmidt 7.3% 7.5% 10.3% 9.4% 8.4% 8.0% 8.5% 8.3% 8.8% 7.6% 5.9% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0%
Ethan Danielson 14.7% 12.4% 10.3% 11.5% 11.1% 9.0% 9.0% 7.2% 4.9% 4.2% 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4%
Nolan Cooper 4.9% 5.6% 5.9% 7.6% 5.6% 6.0% 7.0% 7.3% 9.2% 9.0% 9.7% 10.1% 6.9% 5.2%
Max Teo 8.9% 10.5% 10.9% 11.4% 9.1% 9.8% 8.7% 7.5% 6.6% 7.0% 4.1% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
Eva Ermlich 17.5% 18.6% 14.5% 12.4% 10.4% 8.0% 6.3% 4.3% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Sidney Moyer 9.6% 8.1% 9.0% 9.8% 10.3% 9.2% 7.9% 7.2% 8.2% 7.1% 6.7% 3.7% 2.6% 0.6%
Sean Lund 2.2% 2.5% 3.7% 2.8% 3.6% 5.3% 4.5% 5.0% 5.7% 7.2% 8.4% 11.1% 14.0% 24.0%
Jett Lindelof 6.0% 5.9% 7.8% 5.8% 6.6% 6.8% 7.0% 10.4% 7.7% 7.1% 9.9% 7.3% 7.8% 3.9%
William Delong 3.0% 3.3% 2.0% 2.7% 3.9% 4.8% 3.9% 5.4% 6.1% 9.7% 10.7% 13.1% 15.7% 15.7%
Blake Vogel 5.8% 6.5% 7.0% 6.2% 9.0% 6.5% 9.4% 8.3% 10.1% 7.6% 8.5% 7.2% 6.2% 1.7%
Evan Tofolo 3.1% 2.6% 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 5.1% 6.5% 7.1% 10.1% 9.6% 11.8% 11.7% 15.5%
Theresa Straw 4.5% 5.2% 4.5% 4.6% 6.5% 7.2% 6.9% 8.5% 8.9% 9.4% 10.1% 9.2% 8.5% 6.0%
Christian Cushman 10.4% 9.5% 8.1% 9.5% 8.3% 9.9% 10.7% 8.2% 6.5% 6.5% 5.5% 3.6% 2.6% 0.7%
Sean Morrison 2.1% 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 3.8% 5.1% 5.9% 5.9% 5.5% 8.0% 12.6% 17.4% 23.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.