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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.28+5.01vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.57+3.08vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.10+3.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+3.25vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+4.90vs Predicted
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61.41-0.22vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69+0.71vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.60+0.23vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-4.96vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.27-3.78vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.78-3.22vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.57vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-3.62vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.20-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.08Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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6.62Tufts University1.100.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.0%1st Place
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5.781.410.1%1st Place
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7.71Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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8.23Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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4.04Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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6.22University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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7.78Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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10.43University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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10.55Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Grant Schmidt | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| William Delong | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 17.6% |
| Max Teo | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Theresa Straw | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 19.2% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Jett Lindelof | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Sean Lund | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 23.6% |
| Evan Tofolo | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.8% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 20.8% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.