Race 4A

bu-trophy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ethan Danielson 12.0% 14.4% 12.9% 9.7% 10.2% 9.8% 7.4% 7.1% 5.0% 3.5% 4.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.6%
Sidney Moyer 9.7% 10.0% 10.3% 9.9% 9.4% 9.1% 9.1% 8.3% 8.1% 6.4% 4.5% 2.4% 1.6% 1.2%
Blake Vogel 6.5% 6.2% 8.3% 7.4% 7.5% 5.9% 8.8% 7.0% 10.5% 9.2% 6.8% 8.5% 4.9% 2.5%
Eva Ermlich 19.1% 18.8% 13.4% 12.6% 10.1% 7.8% 6.0% 4.9% 3.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Grant Schmidt 5.9% 6.9% 9.1% 9.6% 7.5% 8.9% 9.1% 7.9% 8.9% 8.3% 6.9% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8%
Theresa Straw 4.8% 3.9% 4.9% 4.0% 5.7% 7.4% 7.7% 9.3% 9.4% 7.2% 11.0% 8.4% 9.4% 6.9%
Evan Tofolo 3.4% 3.7% 4.4% 4.7% 4.7% 5.5% 4.9% 6.4% 7.3% 8.6% 9.5% 11.9% 11.9% 13.1%
Christian Cushman 9.7% 10.5% 8.1% 8.5% 10.4% 9.3% 9.0% 7.3% 6.4% 6.5% 6.3% 4.3% 2.9% 0.8%
Jett Lindelof 6.2% 4.5% 5.1% 6.0% 7.9% 7.0% 9.1% 8.8% 8.7% 9.2% 9.2% 8.9% 5.9% 3.5%
Nolan Cooper 4.8% 4.3% 5.1% 6.8% 6.8% 7.5% 7.7% 8.0% 8.2% 9.3% 9.5% 9.7% 7.7% 4.6%
Sean Morrison 2.3% 1.9% 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 4.0% 3.7% 5.3% 4.9% 8.4% 7.1% 11.9% 16.4% 27.4%
Max Teo 10.4% 9.4% 10.5% 11.8% 10.6% 9.4% 8.5% 7.4% 6.5% 5.6% 4.0% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8%
William Delong 2.9% 3.2% 3.3% 3.9% 3.1% 4.5% 4.3% 5.8% 8.4% 8.6% 10.3% 11.3% 15.8% 14.6%
Sean Lund 2.3% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 4.0% 3.9% 4.7% 6.5% 4.3% 7.4% 9.7% 11.2% 16.4% 22.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.