Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sidney Moyer 9.6% 10.9% 11.4% 9.5% 9.7% 9.9% 9.3% 7.8% 6.1% 5.4% 4.1% 3.6% 1.8% 0.9%
Eva Ermlich 22.0% 19.3% 14.3% 14.2% 9.9% 6.9% 5.2% 3.2% 1.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2%
Ethan Danielson 13.2% 14.1% 11.7% 11.5% 10.3% 9.7% 8.0% 7.3% 5.8% 4.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Jett Lindelof 5.2% 6.2% 8.0% 6.4% 7.3% 8.2% 7.7% 9.6% 8.7% 8.8% 8.4% 7.3% 5.2% 3.0%
Christian Cushman 8.2% 10.1% 8.7% 11.0% 10.8% 9.3% 7.7% 9.2% 6.5% 7.6% 5.0% 3.2% 1.4% 1.3%
Nolan Cooper 5.0% 5.5% 6.1% 6.0% 7.6% 6.6% 9.3% 8.3% 8.5% 7.8% 9.4% 8.4% 7.5% 4.0%
Grant Schmidt 9.4% 9.4% 9.5% 8.7% 10.0% 7.9% 9.8% 8.3% 7.3% 7.4% 4.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.1%
Richard Kalich 3.9% 3.3% 4.4% 5.5% 4.2% 5.1% 4.3% 7.2% 7.3% 8.3% 11.3% 9.7% 12.0% 13.5%
William Delong 4.1% 2.4% 3.3% 2.5% 4.3% 3.7% 5.0% 7.1% 8.4% 8.9% 10.1% 11.6% 14.8% 13.8%
Sean Morrison 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 4.9% 4.7% 4.6% 6.1% 9.3% 7.6% 11.2% 14.6% 25.8%
Evan Tofolo 3.1% 3.2% 3.2% 5.1% 4.3% 6.0% 6.1% 6.3% 7.9% 9.1% 10.3% 11.6% 10.9% 12.9%
Blake Vogel 6.5% 6.4% 7.3% 8.6% 9.7% 9.7% 8.0% 7.8% 9.5% 7.2% 7.4% 6.2% 3.6% 2.1%
Theresa Straw 5.5% 4.6% 7.1% 5.4% 5.4% 7.8% 8.9% 7.8% 9.9% 7.4% 10.3% 8.5% 7.6% 3.8%
Sean Lund 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 4.1% 4.3% 6.0% 5.5% 6.3% 6.9% 8.3% 13.0% 17.4% 17.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.