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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University0.60+6.88vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.28+3.60vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.57+1.94vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03-0.25vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.78+2.50vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.20+4.51vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.27-1.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.93-1.12vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.10-2.57vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-0.69vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.16-1.62vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-3.50vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.69-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Harvard University0.600.0%1st Place
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5.6Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.94Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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3.75Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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7.5Bates College0.780.0%1st Place
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10.51Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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6.43Tufts University1.100.1%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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9.38Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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10.24University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.0%1st Place
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7.5Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theresa Straw | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Sidney Moyer | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 13.6% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 20.8% | 19.8% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jett Lindelof | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 24.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Grant Schmidt | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Evan Tofolo | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.5% |
| Sean Lund | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 21.9% |
| William Delong | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 13.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.