Race 3A

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Eva Ermlich 14.5% 14.5% 13.4% 13.0% 10.7% 10.5% 8.3% 6.2% 4.3% 3.2% 1.4%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.4% 8.2% 8.6% 8.4% 10.3% 9.8% 10.9% 10.6% 9.9% 8.7% 6.2%
Laura Hamilton 22.7% 18.4% 16.5% 13.3% 10.4% 7.5% 5.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Marina Garrido 10.4% 11.4% 10.3% 10.4% 10.5% 10.8% 8.3% 9.6% 8.8% 6.0% 3.4%
Izzy Wu-Karr 4.9% 4.2% 5.1% 5.3% 7.2% 8.0% 7.8% 9.4% 11.3% 15.4% 21.4%
Avery Canavan 8.9% 10.8% 9.7% 10.1% 10.3% 10.5% 10.8% 11.4% 8.5% 5.5% 3.5%
Grace Watlington 6.2% 5.7% 6.6% 7.3% 7.0% 8.6% 9.5% 10.3% 13.0% 12.9% 13.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.7% 3.7% 4.5% 4.9% 6.5% 6.9% 6.9% 9.2% 11.6% 16.1% 26.2%
Lucy Paskoff 5.3% 6.0% 7.9% 6.8% 7.8% 9.8% 11.5% 9.4% 11.3% 13.2% 10.9%
Ashley Delisser 5.5% 7.4% 6.4% 8.5% 8.6% 8.3% 10.2% 10.7% 11.4% 12.0% 10.9%
Kalea Woodard 9.4% 9.7% 11.2% 12.0% 10.8% 9.2% 10.5% 9.7% 8.6% 5.9% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.