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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+7.53vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+3.88vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.95vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.92+8.15vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.76vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.73+2.59vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.55+2.62vs Predicted
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8Washington College3.65+0.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.66-0.29vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.90+2.32vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-3.50vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.36-1.59vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.86-0.17vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.72+2.67vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.25-4.28vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.62-7.05vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University3.26-6.49vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.32-3.34vs Predicted
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19Columbia University2.13-3.71vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island2.93-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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12.15Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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9.62Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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8.65Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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12.32Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.41Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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16.67University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.66Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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15.29Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Haley Powell | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olin Davis | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Colin Smith | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Thomas Presti | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 17.7% | 36.6% |
| William Howard | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Ian Paice | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 15.2% |
| David Coplon | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 21.0% |
| James Simmons | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.