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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Grant Schmidt 7.2% 7.9% 9.7% 7.9% 8.4% 10.5% 7.9% 8.6% 8.6% 6.6% 6.9% 4.1% 3.7% 2.0%
Julian Dahiya 12.1% 12.1% 8.7% 12.0% 11.2% 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 5.4% 3.1% 3.7% 2.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Nolan Cooper 5.5% 4.7% 6.7% 6.3% 6.3% 5.5% 6.9% 8.4% 9.0% 10.3% 8.9% 9.3% 7.1% 5.1%
Blake Vogel 5.5% 7.1% 7.6% 7.2% 8.0% 7.3% 8.7% 7.9% 9.1% 7.4% 9.9% 6.6% 5.1% 2.6%
Sean Morrison 2.1% 1.6% 1.9% 3.1% 2.7% 3.1% 3.8% 5.8% 7.1% 5.6% 8.8% 10.2% 17.9% 26.3%
Jett Lindelof 5.5% 5.0% 5.3% 5.6% 7.2% 6.7% 9.8% 8.0% 9.6% 9.6% 7.6% 7.5% 8.5% 4.1%
Max Teo 11.3% 10.2% 11.5% 10.0% 10.3% 9.4% 8.3% 8.2% 6.7% 5.3% 4.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.5%
Christian Cushman 8.5% 10.3% 9.2% 9.0% 9.7% 8.2% 8.0% 8.5% 7.0% 7.2% 6.2% 5.3% 1.9% 1.0%
William Delong 3.0% 3.3% 2.3% 2.8% 2.9% 5.0% 4.6% 4.5% 5.9% 10.1% 9.8% 14.6% 14.6% 16.6%
Ethan Danielson 10.1% 11.8% 11.8% 12.1% 9.4% 9.6% 8.2% 8.1% 6.8% 4.6% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Sean Lund 1.7% 2.7% 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.6% 5.0% 5.0% 6.1% 8.1% 9.3% 11.2% 16.0% 24.2%
Theresa Straw 4.5% 3.7% 5.5% 4.9% 6.2% 7.3% 7.4% 8.0% 8.4% 11.2% 9.2% 9.9% 8.1% 5.7%
Eva Ermlich 19.6% 16.7% 15.1% 12.3% 10.1% 8.8% 5.9% 4.1% 3.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Evan Tofolo 3.4% 2.9% 3.1% 4.1% 4.8% 6.1% 6.3% 5.1% 7.0% 8.9% 10.2% 13.6% 13.0% 11.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.