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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.10+5.57vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.49+3.30vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+4.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+3.26vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.20+5.69vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.78+1.87vs Predicted
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71.41-1.45vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.27-1.80vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+1.00vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.57-4.61vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.47vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.60-3.69vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-9.01vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Tufts University1.100.1%1st Place
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5.3Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.97Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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10.69Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.87Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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5.551.410.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.0%1st Place
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5.39Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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10.53University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University0.600.0%1st Place
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3.99Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Schmidt | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 26.3% |
| Jett Lindelof | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Max Teo | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| William Delong | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 16.6% |
| Ethan Danielson | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sean Lund | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 24.2% |
| Theresa Straw | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 19.6% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Tofolo | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.