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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.49+4.46vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.78+5.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+4.22vs Predicted
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41.41+1.75vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.69+3.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.13+3.18vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.27-1.79vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.20+1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-0.04vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.10-4.18vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.60-3.70vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.57-7.77vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.45Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.751.410.1%1st Place
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8.11Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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4.13Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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10.18University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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10.74Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.0%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University1.100.1%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University0.600.0%1st Place
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5.23Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Dahiya | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Jett Lindelof | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Max Teo | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 18.5% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 22.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 26.3% |
| William Delong | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 16.6% |
| Grant Schmidt | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Theresa Straw | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 12.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Evan Tofolo | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.